{"id":8920,"date":"2024-07-01T06:23:46","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T06:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=8920"},"modified":"2024-07-01T06:24:28","modified_gmt":"2024-07-01T06:24:28","slug":"weekly-overview-2024-07-01","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2024-07-01\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (July 01 \u2013 July 05)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (July 01 \u2013 July 05)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n   <p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">\r\nThis week promises to be volatile due to a lot of important events. The US Nonfarm Payrolls is the week\u2019s main event, as it is one of the most important parameters for the Fed\u2019s monetary policy decision. Continued strength in the labor market could strengthen the US Federal Reserve&#8217;s hawkish stance. The FOMC protocol on Wednesday will give investors insight into how FED policymakers see the future trajectory of interest rates, as markets are still awaiting the first-rate cut from the US Fed. On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak at the European Central Bank&#8217;s annual forum in Sintra with a panel discussion on &#8220;Monetary Policy in an Era of Transition.&#8221; Investors will be waiting for fresh ideas on the future of interest rates. Also, this week, parliamentary elections in France and the United Kingdom will conclude. The arrival of a far-right party in France could cause severe unrest inside the country and put pressure on the European currency. In the UK, on the contrary, the victory of the opposition party may support the British currency.\r\n\r\n  <\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Monday, July&#160;01\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Monday, traders should not miss essential manufacturing PMI data in main economies. It&#8217;s a leading indicator of economic health. Generally, if the actual data is better than expected, it is positive for the currency. It\u2019s a bank holiday in Canada and Hong Kong.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;03:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:55&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US ISM Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at&#160;22:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Tuesday, July&#160;02\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Tuesday, the main event for investors will be the Australia RBA Meeting Minutes. Rising inflation, coupled with weak economic growth, makes the RBA more hawkish than other central banks. The RBA protocol may confirm this assumption and provide additional fuel for the Australian currency. Also, on Tuesday, Eurozone inflation data will be released. A slight decrease in consumer prices is expected. Along with political uncertainty in France, the euro may be under pressure this week.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n   <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;16:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at&#160;16:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks at&#160;16:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US JOLTS Job Openings&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Wednesday, July&#160;03\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Wednesday, investors will focus on the US FOMC Meeting Minutes. This report, published for the previous month, allows traders to analyze the actions of Fed policymakers regarding further monetary policy and understand the mood inside. Volatility in currency pairs with the US dollar will increase. Major countries will report on the Service&#8217;s PMI. Also note that due to US Independence Day on July&#160;4, the natural gas storage report will be released on Wednesday.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;03:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Caixin Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:55&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Producer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:15&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US ISM Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at&#160;17:15&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;19:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Meeting Minutes at&#160;21:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Thursday, July&#160;04\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThursday is Independence Day in the United States, a bank holiday, so volatility in the financial markets in the US trading session will be low. At the European session, it is worth paying attention to the Swiss inflation data. Lower inflationary pressure may hurt the CHF. Meanwhile, polls are predicting a victory for the opposition Labor Party in Thursday&#8217;s UK election, which could result in sterling gaining further support.\r\n\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;08:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Construction PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK General Election&#160;(All Day).<\/li>\r\n\r\n\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Friday, July&#160;05\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThe most important Friday release is Nonfarm Payrolls. This data can trigger increased volatility in the market, and the Fed takes this indicator into account to adjust monetary policy. Economists expect the US  economy to add&#160;189,000 jobs in June after the previous month&#8217;s&#160;272,000 increase exceeded estimates, indicating a resilient labor market. The unemployment rate is expected to be&#160;4.0%. Strong labor market data will support the US dollar. Canada will also release jobs data on Friday, which could prove crucial to the Bank of Canada&#8217;s July policy decision. Expectations of a rate cut next month fell sharply after better-than-expected consumer price index data for May.  \r\n\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 German Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Nonfarm Payrolls&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Ivey PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2024.07.01<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\n          We advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n        <\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/pt\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (July 01 \u2013 July 05) This week promises to be volatile due to a lot of important events. The US Nonfarm Payrolls is the week\u2019s main event, as it is one of the most important parameters for the Fed\u2019s monetary policy decision. Continued strength in the labor &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[191,334],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8927,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8920\/revisions\/8927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}