{"id":9248,"date":"2024-08-28T08:58:20","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:58:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=9248"},"modified":"2024-08-28T08:58:21","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:58:21","slug":"weekly-overview-2024-08-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2024-08-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (August 26 \u2013 August 30)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (August 26 \u2013 August 30)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n    <p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">\r\nThe US PCE Price report, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred measure of inflation, is the most important data this week. Economists believe the figures will remain unchanged, which could play into the dollar&#8217;s hands, as it would tip the scales in favor of a&#160;0.25% rate cut, not&#160;0.5% at the September meeting. The Eurozone and Australian inflation data should also be on the trader&#8217;s list. Eurozone core inflation is estimated to fall from&#160;2.6% y\/y in July to&#160;2.3% in August, bringing it closer to the ECB&#8217;s&#160;2% target. In Australia, inflation will also be a dominant theme. In June, the annual Consumer Price Index fell to&#160;3.8%. If there is no new progress in July, the RBA will almost certainly continue to rule out a rate hike this year, which will be positive for the Australian dollar.\r\n  <\/p>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Monday, August&#160;26\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nUsually, Monday is an ordinary trading day with low volatility, but after the Jackson Hole symposium, the week may start very actively. In the US session, be on the lookout for US durable goods orders data. It is a leading indicator of production \u2014 growth in purchase orders is usually accompanied by currency appreciation. It is a bank holiday in the United Kingdom on Monday.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n    <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n    \r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand Trade Balance&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;01:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Ifo Business Climate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Durable Goods Orders&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Tuesday, August&#160;27\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Tuesday, traders should evaluate Germany&#8217;s GDP data. The growth dynamics of the leading Eurozone economy have been weak in recent months, and economists expect a&#160;0.1% annualized decline.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 German GDP&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US CB Consumer Confidence&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Wednesday, August&#160;28\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Wednesday, an important inflation report from Australia will be released. Inflation is expected to fall from&#160;3.8% to&#160;3.6% y\/y. If the data turns out to be worse than expected, it may positively impact the Austrian dollar, as it will strengthen the probability that the RBA will not cut rates until the end of the year. Traders should also pay attention to crude oil inventory data. Due to weak data from China&#160;(a major oil importer), oil demand has recently declined, so the growth of inventories may hurt oil prices.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n  <li>\u2013 Australia Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German GfK German Consumer Climate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Thursday, August&#160;29\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThursday will see the release of&#160;2 important reports. The first report is German inflation data. Economists prognose that inflationary pressures in Germany will continue to weaken&#160;(2.3% \u2192&#160;2.2.% y\/y). This may put pressure on the euro, as it will strengthen the probability of an ECB rate cut at the September meeting. The second report is the US GDP data. The report is expected to show&#160;2.8% q\/q economic growth, which could support the US dollar. Traders should also pay attention to the Natural Gas Storage data, which has a significant impact on natural gas prices. \r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n  <li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks at&#160;01:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US GDP&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Pending Home Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks at&#160;19:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks at&#160;22:30&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Friday, August&#160;30\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThe PCE Price Index data will become the most important Friday release for investors. This data is also taken into account by the Fed to adjust monetary policy. The PCE data is expected to be the same as last month. However, in monthly terms, a&#160;0.5% increase is expected. And while this may further ease recession fears, it may dampen hopes for aggressive rate cuts. Eurozone inflation data for August will be crucial for the European Central Bank&#8217;s interest rate decision for September. While core inflation is expected to fall, partly due to the fall in oil prices, the focus will be on core inflation and the services sector, where price growth has been more resilient. Also, investors should not miss the Tokyo Core inflation data, which is considered to be a leading indicator of national inflation. The growth of the indicators may support the yen, as the Bank of Japan is in the process of tightening monetary policy.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n  <li>\u2013 Japan Tokyo Core CPI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:50&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:50&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:55&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US PCE Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada GDP&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Chicago PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;16:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Michigan Consumer Expectations&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2024.08.26<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\n          We advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n        <\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/pl\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (August 26 \u2013 August 30) The US PCE Price report, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred measure of inflation, is the most important data this week. Economists believe the figures will remain unchanged, which could play into the dollar&#8217;s hands, as it would tip the scales in favor of &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[193,330,338],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview","category-weekly-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9248","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9248"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9248\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9255,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9248\/revisions\/9255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9248"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9248"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9248"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}