{"id":9235,"date":"2024-08-28T08:57:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:57:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=9235"},"modified":"2024-08-28T08:57:11","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:57:11","slug":"weekly-overview-2024-08-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2024-08-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (August 19 \u2013 August 23)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (August 19 \u2013 August 23)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n   <p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">\r\nThis week, investors will focus on US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#8217;s speech at the central bank&#8217;s annual conference in Jackson Hole, where he will share his views on the future trajectory of interest rates. Hopes of a soft landing for the economy again drive US indices higher. Most market participants believe the Fed will cut rates at its upcoming September meeting. Also, this week, inflation data from the Eurozone, Canada, and Japan will be released. In Canada and the Eurozone, inflationary pressures are expected to ease, while economists forecast an increase in consumer prices in Japan. At the end of the week, eurozone countries will publish important data on manufacturing and services PMI that will show the economy&#8217;s health during high interest rates.\r\n  <\/p>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Monday, August&#160;19\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nNo major economic events are expected on Monday. The day will be relatively calm in terms of volatility.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Tuesday, August&#160;20\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nIn the Asian session, investors will focus on the People&#8217;s Bank of China&#8217;s&#160;(PBoC) interest rate decision. It is expected without surprises, but volatility on Asian indices will be increased. In the second half of the day, traders will evaluate inflation data in Canada and the Eurozone. Further price declines are expected, which may pressure EUR and CAD. Any surprise in the form of inflation growth may provoke a temporary rise in the currency.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n    \r\n    <li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 New Zealand Trade Balance&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;01:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate at&#160;03:15&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Australia Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Switzerland Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Eurozone Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks at&#160;12:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Canada Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks at&#160;20:35&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US FOMC Member Barr Speaks at&#160;21:45&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n    <\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Wednesday, August&#160;21\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThe main event on Wednesday will be the July FOMC minutes. The July Fed meeting left the door open for a rate cut next month. Most market participants believe that the Fed will cut rates at the upcoming September meeting, with the main debate being over the size of the cut &#8211; by a quarter percentage point or half a point. However, the minutes are unlikely to answer this question because all attention will shift to Powell&#8217;s speech at the symposium. Therefore, traders here should only expect a volatility spike. The US Crude Oil Reserves data, which greatly impacts oil prices, should also be on the trader&#8217;s list.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n  <li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Japan Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US FOMC Meeting Minutes at&#160;21:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Thursday, August&#160;22\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Thursday, the annual meeting of politicians will begin in Jackson Hole, which is worth paying special attention to. Investors should also closely monitor the PMI data in the manufacturing and services sectors. These data show the health of the economy. As a rule, the growth of indicators is accompanied by a positive for the national currency and vice versa.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n   <li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Australia Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Australia Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Japan Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;03:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Japan Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;03:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 German Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 German Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;10:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Eurozone Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 UK Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 UK Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;11:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Jackson Hole Symposium at&#160;15:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Manufacturing PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;16:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Services PMI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;16:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Existing Home Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Friday, August&#160;23\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nSince the rate cut in September is a done deal, investors will be waiting for clues as to the size of the rate cut. If Powell hints at a&#160;0.5% cut, it would be a strong blow to the USD but positive for indices and gold. Conversely, if Powell hints at a strong economy, it will increase the probability of a&#160;0.25% cut, already priced in. Traders should also not miss Japan&#8217;s inflation data. Economists forecast inflation to rise from&#160;2.6% to&#160;2.7% annually, which is to the benefit of the Bank of Japan&#160;(BoJ) and may be an additional factor to strengthen the yen.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n   <li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 New Zealand Retail Sales&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;01:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Japan National Core CPI&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Singapore Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;08:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Canada Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 Jackson Hole Symposium at&#160;15:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 US New Home Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"ag-analytics_item\">\u2013 UK BoE Gov Bailey Speaks at&#160;22:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2024.08.19<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\n          We advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n        <\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/pl\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (August 19 \u2013 August 23) This week, investors will focus on US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#8217;s speech at the central bank&#8217;s annual conference in Jackson Hole, where he will share his views on the future trajectory of interest rates. Hopes of a soft landing for the &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[193,330,338],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9235","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview","category-weekly-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9235","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9235"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9235\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9242,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9235\/revisions\/9242"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}