{"id":11820,"date":"2025-12-16T12:00:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-16T12:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=11820"},"modified":"2025-12-16T12:00:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T12:00:59","slug":"weekly-overview-2025-12-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2025-12-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (December 15 \u2013 December 19)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (December 15 \u2013 December 19)<\/h1>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">This week, markets will focus on the delayed US labor market data package, including nonfarm payrolls for October and November, the November unemployment rate, October retail sales, November inflation, and December S&amp;P Global PMI business activity indices. Central bank policy will remain a key factor, with investors watching closely for decisions from the ECB, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, Banxico, the Riksbank, and Norges Bank. Additional attention will be paid to inflation data in the Eurozone, Canada, and the UK, and to preliminary PMIs for Australia, Japan, and leading European economies.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Monday, December 15<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>On Monday, traders will be actively monitoring data from China and Canada. During the Asian session, a package of data from China will be released, including reports on retail sales and the labor market. Conditions are expected to improve, which may support the Asian indices CHA50 and HK50. During the US session, traders will assess Canada&#8217;s inflation report. The median forecast is expected to remain at last month&#8217;s level, so no significant shifts in the probability of interest rates are expected. However, short-term volatility on CAD instruments is guaranteed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers (m\/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY (LOW)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 China Industrial Production (m\/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; CHA50, HK50 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 China Retail Sales (m\/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; CHA50, HK50 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 China Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; CHA50, HK50 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Industrial Production (m\/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR (LOW)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Canada Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2). &#8211; CAD (HIGH)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Tuesday, December 16<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>The key economic event on Tuesday will be the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Due to the US government shutdown in the fall, the reporting calendar has shifted. Analysts expect a weak report (employment growth of 50K, compared to 119K last month). This points to the likelihood of an actual decline in employment, strengthening the case for more aggressive Fed policy easing next year. Also on Tuesday, traders should pay attention to the UK labor market report, which is also expected to show a deterioration in conditions. Also on Tuesday, investors will focus on business activity data from the manufacturing and service sectors in key economies. These data reflect the health of the economy. The growth of indicators is usually positive for the national currency.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Australia Manufacturing and Services PMI (m\/m) at 00:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; AUD(MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Japan Manufacturing and Services PMI (m\/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Manufacturing and Services PMI (m\/m) at 11:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK Manufacturing and Services PMI (m\/m) at 11:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (m\/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR (LOW)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Non-Farm Payrolls (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; USD, XAU, US Indices (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; USD, XAU, US Indices (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Manufacturing and Services PMI (m\/m) at 16:45 (GMT+2). &#8211; USD (MED)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Wednesday, December 17<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>On Wednesday, traders&#8217; attention will turn to UK inflation data. A slight decline in core inflation is expected, while overall inflation is expected to be unchanged. Surprise in the direction of a significant decline in inflation will have a negative impact on the British currency. Also on Wednesday, investors will be keeping an eye on the final Eurozone inflation data, which is expected to show the same figures as in the previous month. This data could support the euro, as it would confirm that the ECB&#8217;s current rate is now at an optimal level.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Japan Trade Balance (m\/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP, UK100 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Germany Ifo Business Climate (m\/m) at 11:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR, DE40 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR, DE40 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; WTI (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand GDP (q\/q) at 23:45 (GMT+2). &#8211; NZD (MED)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Thursday, December 18<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>Thursday promises to be a busy day for the markets: five central banks are scheduled to hold meetings, and US inflation data will be released. The Riksbank, Norges Bank, and the ECB are highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged, which could provide moderate support for their currencies and increase short-term volatility. In the UK, the Bank of England is expected to cut its rate from 4% to 3.75%, while in Mexico, Banxico is forecast to lower its rate from 7.25% to 7.0%, with the Mexican peso possibly even strengthening thanks to the continued attractiveness of carry trade operations. Inflation is expected to accelerate in the US: the headline CPI is estimated to exceed 3.0% for the first time since May 2024, while core inflation may rise to 3.1% from 3.0%. Stronger inflation data could support the dollar and increase pressure on risk assets.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Sweden Riksbank Rate Decision (m\/m) at 10:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; SEK (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Norway Norges Bank Rate Decision (m\/m) at 11:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; NOK (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision at 14:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP, UK100 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK BoE Monetary Policy Statement at 14:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP, UK100 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision at 15:15 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR, DE40 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Statement at 15:15 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR, DE40 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; USD, XAU, US Indices (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Press Conference at 15:45 (GMT+2); &#8211; EUR, DE40 (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims (w\/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; USD (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; XNG (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Mexico Banxico Interest Rate Decision at 21:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; MXN (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand Trade Balance (m\/m) at 23:45 (GMT+2). &#8211; NZD (MED)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Friday, December 19<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">On Friday, investors will focus their attention on Japan. At the opening of the Asian session, an inflation report will be published, with the indicator expected to remain stable at around 3% y\/y. Later in the day, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting, and markets are anticipating a fairly high probability of an unexpected 0.25% interest rate hike. The realization of such a scenario could lead to a sharp strengthening of the Japanese yen, especially given that the new government is simultaneously launching a stimulus package to support the economy.<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\u2013 Japan National Core CPI (m\/m) at 01:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision at 05:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY, JP225 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement at 05:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY, JP225 (HIGH)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Japan BoJ Press Conference at 06:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; JPY (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK Retail Sales (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); &#8211; GBP (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Canada Retail Sales (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); &#8211; CAD (MED)<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Existing Home Sales (m\/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2). &#8211; USD (MED)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, 2025.12.15<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/pl\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (December 15 \u2013 December 19) This week, markets will focus on the delayed US labor market data package, including nonfarm payrolls for October and November, the November unemployment rate, October retail sales, November inflation, and December S&amp;P Global PMI business activity indices. Central bank policy will remain &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[193,330,338],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview","category-weekly-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11820"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11827,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11820\/revisions\/11827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}