{"id":10404,"date":"2025-02-24T07:10:37","date_gmt":"2025-02-24T07:10:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=10404"},"modified":"2025-02-24T07:10:39","modified_gmt":"2025-02-24T07:10:39","slug":"weekly-overview-2025-02-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2025-02-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (February 24 \u2013 February 28)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (February 24 \u2013 February 28)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This week is expected to be quieter than the previous week. Geopolitics remains in the foreground: the situation with the Ukraine peace deal on the third anniversary of the Russian invasion, the election of a new German Chancellor, and Trump&#8217;s tariff policy. In terms of economic news, traders will turn their eyes to Australian and Eurozone inflation data, the Fed&#8217;s preferred PCE Price Index inflation report, and US quarterly GDP data.<\/span><\/p>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Monday, February 24<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Europe&#8217;s inflation report will be released on Monday. Overall inflation is expected to fall from 2.5% to 2.4% y\/y, while core inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices) is expected to remain at 2.7% y\/y. The swaps market has calmed down, and we expect two more ECB rate cuts in 1H25 and one in the second half.<\/span> Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Singapore Inflation Rate (m\/m) at 07:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Ifo Business Climate (m\/m) at 11:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Tuesday, February 25<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Tuesday, traders will be closely monitoring Germany&#8217;s quarterly GDP data. Europe&#8217;s largest economy is expected to stagnate (forecast 0.2% y\/y), which could negatively impact the euro. <\/span> Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 German GDP (q\/q) at 09:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US CB Consumer Confidence (m\/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Wednesday, February 26<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Asian traders will see strong volatility on Wednesday. Australia will release its inflation report. Consumer prices are expected to fall slightly from 2.6% to 2.5% y\/y. This scenario is already priced in, so the price will react if the data differs. If inflationary pressures show a faster rate of decline, it could put pressure on the AUD, as it would increase the probability of further rate cuts from the RBA. The US Crude Oil Reserves data, which greatly impacts oil prices, should also focus. The volatility of WTI and BRENT prices could rise sharply.<\/span><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German GfK Consumer Confidence (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan BOJ Core CPI (m\/m) at 07:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US New Home Sales (m\/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 G20 Meetings (Day 1).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Thursday, February 27<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Thursday, investors may pay attention to the quarterly US GDP report. A 2.3% reading is expected, down significantly from 3.2% last month. Despite the growth, the US dollar may come under pressure. Commodity traders should closely monitor the weekly natural gas inventories report. Gas prices have risen sharply amid cold weather and low supply.<\/span><\/div>\r\n<div>Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland GDP (q\/q) at 10:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (m\/m) at 14:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US GDP (q\/q) at 15:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims (w\/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Durable Goods Orders (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Pending Home Sales (m\/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 G20 Meetings (Day 2);<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Friday, February 28<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A lot of economic news is expected on Friday. The PCE Price Index report, the preferred inflation gauge for the US Fed, can be highlighted. The headline PCE deflator for January maybe 2.5%, down from 2.6%, and the core deflator maybe 2.6%, down from 2.8% in December. A decline in PCE inflation will negatively impact the US dollar as it increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the US. In Japan, the Tokyo Inflation Report will be published, which is considered a leading indicator of national inflation. A decline in consumer prices may put temporary pressure on the Japanese yen. Also, on Thursday, Canada will report fourth-quarter GDP data. Canada&#8217;s economy has seen very modest growth in recent months, which probably won&#8217;t change this time. The swap market estimates the probability of a rate cut at the next meeting of the Bank of Canada on March 12 at almost 50%. Therefore, GDP growth will reduce this probability, which is positive for CAD and vice versa.\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\r\n<div>Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Tokyo Core CPI (m\/m) at 01:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Industrial Production (m\/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Retail Sales (m\/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Retail Sales (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Retail Sales (m\/m) at 09:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators (m\/m) at 10:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 10:55 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Consumer Price Index (m\/m) at 15:00 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada GDP (q\/q) at 15:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US PCE Price index (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Chicago PMI (m\/m) at 16:45 (GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2025.02.24<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\nWe advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n<\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/pl\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (February 24 \u2013 February 28) This week is expected to be quieter than the previous week. Geopolitics remains in the foreground: the situation with the Ukraine peace deal on the third anniversary of the Russian invasion, the election of a new German Chancellor, and Trump&#8217;s tariff policy. &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[193,330,338],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview","category-weekly-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10404"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10404\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10411,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10404\/revisions\/10411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}