{"id":9225,"date":"2024-08-28T08:55:48","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:55:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=9225"},"modified":"2024-08-28T08:55:49","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:55:49","slug":"weekly-overview-2024-08-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2024-08-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (August 12 \u2013 August 16)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (August 12 \u2013 August 16)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n      <p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">\r\nThis week, investors will focus on the RBNZ interest rate decision. Economists do not expect any changes, but there is a growing consensus among traders that the RBNZ will announce a&#160;25 bps cut in the cash rate. The US will publish data on inflation, where consumer price pressures are expected to decline slightly. Indicators showing hovering inflation could add to fears that the Fed has derailed the economy by leaving rates high for too long. The UK will release inflation data on Wednesday, which will be closely watched for signs of lingering price pressures, especially in the still-hot services sector. Also worth watching this week are labor market data from the UK and Australia and GDP reports for key economies are also worth watching.\r\n\r\n  <\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Monday, August&#160;12\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nNo major economic events are expected on Monday. The day will be relatively calm in terms of volatility. It\u2019s a bank holiday in Japan.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Tuesday, August&#160;13\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nIn Tuesday&#8217;s European session, traders should focus on the UK labor market data. Ideally, Bank of England&#160;(BoE) policymakers need to see further declines before they are ready to cut rates again. In the US session, traders will monitor the inflation report produced in the US. This report is a precursor to consumer inflation, so the growth of these values will be extremely negative for the US dollar.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n   <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Producer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:50&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Wage Price Index&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Average Earnings Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Claimant Count Change&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German ZEW Economic Sentiment&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Producer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks at&#160;20:15&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Wednesday, August&#160;14\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Wednesday, all investors will focus on the RBNZ Interest Rate Decision and US inflation data. The RBNZ is expected to leave the rate unchanged. Still, easing expectations started gaining momentum after the previous meeting when policymakers expressed optimism about the prospects of inflation returning to the&#160;1-3% target range in the second half of this year, which was later reinforced by the quarterly CPI report showing inflation falling to&#160;3.3%. The probability of a rate cut at this meeting is around&#160;60%. As for the US inflation report, no changes are expected. This may become a negative factor for the US dollar, as it will only strengthen economists&#8217; assumptions about the approaching recession in the US, which may cause new panic selling in the market. In the UK, inflationary pressures are expected to rise from&#160;2.0% to&#160;2.3% y\/y, which may increase the likelihood that the Bank of England will become less dovish and not cut rates at its next meeting. Such a scenario is favorable for the British currency.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;05:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;05:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference at&#160;06:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Producer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone GDP&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Consumer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks at&#160;21:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Thursday, August&#160;15\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nOn Thursday, The Norwegian central bank will hold a monetary policy meeting. Analysts are divided on whether Norges Bank will cut or leave the rate unchanged. However, volatility with currency pairs with NOK will increase. It is also worth keeping a close eye on Australia&#8217;s labor market data. Robust data may bolster confidence that the RBA may hold the rate until the end of the year, which would be positive for AUD. Also, on Thursday, economic reports from China were worth paying attention to. Beijing recognizes the need for greater support for the economy. Therefore, weak data will increase this probability, a positive factor for Asian indices.\r\n\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan GDP&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;02:50&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;04:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;05:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Unemployment Rate&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;05:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;05:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;07:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK GDP&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Manufacturing Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Producer Price Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Norwegian Norges Interest Rate Decision at&#160;11:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Account of Monetary Policy Meeting&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;14:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Industrial Production&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;16:15&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage&#160;(w\/w) at&#160;17:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Harker Speaks at&#160;20:10&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">\r\n    Friday, August&#160;16\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\r\nThe main event to watch on Friday is July&#8217;s UK retail sales data. Last month, retail sales were negative&#160;1.2%. This time, it is predicted to rise&#160;0.6%, which will be positive for the pound. However, any negative surprise will increase the probability of further rate cuts by the Bank of England&#160;(BoE) due to the pressure on the economy.\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">\r\n    Main events of the day:\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand Producer Price Index&#160;(q\/q) at&#160;01:45&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia RBA Gov Bullock Speaks at&#160;02:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 New Zealand RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks at&#160;05:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Retail Sales&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;09:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Trade Balance&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;12:00&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Building Permits&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;15:30&#160;(GMT+3);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment&#160;(m\/m) at&#160;17:00&#160;(GMT+3).<\/li>\r\n  <\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2024.08.12<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\n          We advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n        <\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/es\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (August 12 \u2013 August 16) This week, investors will focus on the RBNZ interest rate decision. Economists do not expect any changes, but there is a growing consensus among traders that the RBNZ will announce a&#160;25 bps cut in the cash rate. The US will publish data &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[189,331,337],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview","category-weekly-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9225"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9225\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9227,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9225\/revisions\/9227"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}