{"id":7908,"date":"2024-03-04T07:50:57","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T07:50:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/uncategorized-es\/weekly-overview-2024-03-04\/"},"modified":"2024-03-04T07:50:57","modified_gmt":"2024-03-04T07:50:57","slug":"weekly-overview-2024-03-04","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2024-03-04\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (March 4 &#8211; March 8)"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\r\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (March 4 &#8211; March 8)<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">It will be a volatile week. The main event this week for investors will be the US nonfarm payrolls. Signs of cooling in the US labor market may increase the likelihood of a rate cut from the Fed in late April. The Bank of Canada\u00a0(BoC) and the European Central Bank\u00a0(ECB) will meet this week. Both banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, so the focus will be on the bank&#8217;s inflation forecasts and officials&#8217; press conference speeches. Before Friday&#8217;s jobs report, Jerome Powell\u00a0(US Fed Chair) will appear before a House committee on Wednesday and a Senate panel on Thursday to present the central bank&#8217;s report on monetary policy. Given recent data pointing to the economy&#8217;s strength, Powell is expected to reiterate that policymakers will take a cautious approach when deciding whether to start cutting interest rates.<\/p>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Monday, March\u00a04<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">On Monday, traders will mainly focus on the Swiss inflation data. Inflationary pressures are expected to fall from\u00a01.3% to\u00a01.1% annually. Lower inflation may put pressure on the Swiss franc, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut by the SNB. Volatility on currency pairs with the CHF will increase.<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Consumer Price Index\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a009:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Harker Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a018:00\u00a0(GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Tuesday, March\u00a05<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">On Tuesday, several countries will report on business activity in the service sector. No significant changes are expected. However, this could lead to increased volatility at the time of publication. The Tokyo inflation report, a precursor to overall inflation in the country, is worth noting. Inflation in Japan\u2019s capital is expected to rise sharply from\u00a01.6% to\u00a02.5% annually, increasing the probability of the first rate hike from the Bank of Japan in April. For the JPY, this could be a foundation for appreciation.<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a000:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Tokyo Core CPI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a001:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Japan Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a002:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Caixin Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a003:45\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Germany Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a010:55\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a011:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a011:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Producer Price Index\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a012:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US ISM Services PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Barr Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a019:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Barr Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a022:30\u00a0(GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Wednesday, March\u00a06<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">The Bank of Canada&#8217;s monetary policy meeting will be the critical event on Wednesday. The Bank of Canada is expected to keep rates unchanged. The trader needs to see what bias the bank&#8217;s statement will have. A hawkish bias is likely to drive the Canadian currency higher. Conversely, a dovish bias will increase the probability of a rate cut soon, putting pressure on the Canadian currency. Investors should also listen carefully to Jerome Powell&#8217;s speech to the US Congress. His comments will be scrutinized for hints as to when the US central bank intends to cut its first rate. Also, the US JOLTs Job Openings report will be released on Wednesday. The drop in the number of vacancies will indicate some cooling of the US labor market.<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia GDP\u00a0(q\/q) at\u00a002:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Trade Balance\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a009:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Retail Sales\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a009:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Construction PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a011:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Retail Sales\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a012:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 UK Spring Forecast Statement at\u00a014:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:15\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision at\u00a016:45\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada BoC Rate Statement at\u00a016:45\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Ivey PMI\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US JOLTs Job Openings\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Fed Chair Jerome Powell Testifies at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada BoC Press Conference at\u00a017:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves\u00a0(w\/w) at\u00a017:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Daly Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a019:00\u00a0(GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Thursday, March\u00a07<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">Thursday will be a quieter day before the critical Friday report. The main event will be the European Central Bank meeting. No changes in policy are expected. At the same time, the ECB refused to talk about lowering rates this spring. So, the main focus of investors in this case will be on the speech of the ECB head, Christine Lagarde. Also, on Thursday, US Fed Chair Jerome Powell Powell will deliver semi-annual testimony on monetary policy to a Senate committee.<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 Australia Trade Balance\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a002:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 China Trade Balance\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a005:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Switzerland Unemployment Rate\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a008:45\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision at\u00a015:15\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Statement at\u00a015:15\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims\u00a0(w\/w) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Trade Balance\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Trade Balance\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Press Conference at\u00a015:45\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Fed Chair Jerome Powell Testifies at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at\u00a017:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage\u00a0(w\/w) at\u00a017:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Mester Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a018:30\u00a0(GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Friday, March\u00a08<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">The most important Friday\u2019s release is the US Nonfarm Payrolls report. This data can trigger increased volatility in the market, and the Fed also considers this indicator to adjust monetary policy. The labor report is expected to be weak compared to the previous month, while wage growth may slow. This situation will indicate a cooling of the labor market and fuel speculation of a sooner rate cut by the US Fed. In turn, a strong report will indicate a robust labor market, pushing back the possibility of a rate cut and giving confidence to the USD. Also, on Friday, Canada will report labor market data. Here, we should act by analogy &#8211; a strong report is good for the currency, and a weak report is terrible for the CAD.<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\r\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\r\n<li>\u2013 German Industrial Production\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a009:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 German Producer Price Index\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a009:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone GDP\u00a0(q\/q) at\u00a012:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Member Williams Speaks\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a014:00\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Nonfarm Payrolls\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 US Unemployment Rate\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2);<\/li>\r\n<li>\u2013 Canada Unemployment Rate\u00a0(m\/m) at\u00a015:30\u00a0(GMT+2).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"updated\">2024.03.04<\/span><\/p>\r\n<!--a href=\"\/analytics\/daily-forecast\" class=\"ag-analytics_link\">\r\n          We advise you to get acquainted with the daily forecasts for the major currency pairs.\r\n        <\/a--> <a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/es\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (March 4 &#8211; March 8) It will be a volatile week. The main event this week for investors will be the US nonfarm payrolls. Signs of cooling in the US labor market may increase the likelihood of a rate cut from the Fed in late April. The &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[189,331],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analytics","category-market-overview"],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7908","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7908"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7908\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7908"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7908"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7908"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}