{"id":11552,"date":"2025-10-06T06:27:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T06:27:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/?p=11552"},"modified":"2025-10-06T06:27:11","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T06:27:11","slug":"weekly-overview-2025-10-06","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/analytics\/weekly-overview-2025-10-06\/","title":{"rendered":"Week&#8217;s main events (October 06 \u2013 October 10)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ag-base_page ag-m-format-container\">\n<h1 class=\"ag-base_title-page\">Week&#8217;s main events (October 06 \u2013 October 10)<\/h1>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics-page ag-market-overview-page\">\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">The US government shutdown remains in focus this week, as the protracted deadlock between members of Congress shows no signs of improving. The government slowdown threatens the release of data from federal agencies, including the trade balance, jobless claims, and the budget statement, after the September Non-Farm Payrolls report and other key data have already been postponed. Nevertheless, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting are still expected to be released this week. Among non-government releases, attention should be paid to the University of Michigan&#8217;s October Consumer Sentiment Report. Also on the monetary policy front, the ECB and the Bank of England will publish protocols on their last meetings, while the RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) is expected to cut its rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. Inflation data will be presented in Norway, Sweden, and Mexico. Please note that due to the shutdown, US data may be tentative or delayed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Monday, October 06<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>On Monday, the European session will see the release of the Eurozone retail sales report, which is expected to rise only slightly (+0.1% m\/m). A stronger surprise would support the euro, while weaker data could weigh on the EUR and boost demand for safe havens. Lagarde\u2019s and Bailey\u2019s comments may set the tone for EUR and GBP &#8211; hawkish remarks would support the currencies. It\u2019s a bank holiday in China.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone Retail Sales (m\/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 20:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 20:30 (GMT+3).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Tuesday, October 07<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">On Tuesday, the US and Canada trade balance data are the main drivers. A further increase in the budget deficit could have a negative impact on the value of currencies. But a stronger Ivey PMI data can offset the weak trade balance report and support the CAD. It\u2019s a bank holiday in China.<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence (m\/m) at 03:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Trade Balance (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) (Tentative);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Canada Trade Balance (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Canada Ivey PMI (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 19:10 (GMT+3).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Wednesday, October 08<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">\n<p>The most important Wednesday release for investors will be the FOMC Meeting Minutes, which will provide more information on policymakers&#8216; outlook for the future trajectory of interest rates. Investors often study meeting minutes in search of some sort of advantage or insight into future rate decisions. Markets now expect the Fed to implement two consecutive 25 basis point rate cuts at its remaining meetings this year. Changes in probabilities may affect the volatility of the US dollar. Also on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will hold a monetary policy meeting. There is a high probability of a 0.25% rate cut, which could weigh on NZD, while a hawkish surprise would support it. It\u2019s a bank holiday in China.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 Japan Average Cash Earnings (m\/m) at 02:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 RBNZ Interest Rate Decision at 04:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 RBNZ Rate Statement at 04:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 German Industrial Production (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Sweden Inflation Rate (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK FPC Meeting Minutes at 12:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 UK FPC Statement at 12:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Crude Oil Reserves (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 19:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US FOMC Meeting Minutes at 21:00 (GMT+3).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Thursday, October 09<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">On Thursday, the ECB monetary meeting, Mexico inflation, and Powell\u2019s speech will set the tone. A dovish ECB protocol may have a short-term negative impact on the EUR, while a hawkish one would support it. The Mexican CPI is important for the MXN currency &#8211; a higher print would strengthen the peso if Banxico maintains a cautious stance. Powell\u2019s comments could compensate for the lack of US data. Dovish ones would weigh on the US dollar.<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul class=\"ag-analytics_list\">\n<li>\u2013 German Trade Balance (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Eurozone ECB Monetary Meeting Accounts at 14:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Mexico Inflation Rate (m\/m) at 15:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Initial Jobless Claims (w\/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3) (Tentative);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks at 15:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Natural Gas Storage (w\/w) at 17:30 (GMT+3).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title\">Friday, October 10<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list\">If the US government ends the shutdown, the delayed monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report for September will be published on Friday. If NFP growth is significantly below expectations (&lt;40,000) and the unemployment rate either rises or remains stable, the market may interpret this as a signal for accelerated monetary policy easing. In this case, the USD will weaken. Additionally, traders should focus on the Canadian labor market data. Weak data will increase the probability of another rate cut by the Bank of Canada, which may put pressure on CAD. It\u2019s a bank holiday in Hong Kong.<\/div>\n<div class=\"ag-analytics_title-list__strong\">Main events of the day:<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\u2013 Japan Producer Price Index (m\/m) at 02:50 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Norway Inflation Rate (m\/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Nonfarm Payrolls (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) (Tentative);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) (Tentative);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 Canada Unemployment Rate (m\/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<li>\u2013 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (m\/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"ag-analytics_text\">by <span class=\"author vcard\"><span class=\"fn\">JustMarkets<\/span><\/span>, 2025.10.06<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"ag-base-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/secure.justmarkets.eu\/de\/register\/?sl=1\">Open Account<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week&#8217;s main events (October 06 \u2013 October 10) The US government shutdown remains in focus this week, as the protracted deadlock between members of Congress shows no signs of improving. The government slowdown threatens the release of data from federal agencies, including the trade balance, jobless claims, and the budget &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[328,332,335],"tags":[],"featured_image_src":"","blog_images":{"medium":"","large":""},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"ams_acf":[{"key":"icon","label":"Icon","value":false}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11552"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11552"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11552\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11558,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11552\/revisions\/11558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/justmarkets.eu\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}